Stal Rzeszów vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Nieciecza?
Nieciecza starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nieciecza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Nieciecza 8-1 Stal Rzeszów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nieciecza 3-1 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 1-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 4-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Nieciecza 1-1 Stal Rzeszów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 2-3 Nieciecza | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Stal Rzeszów on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Nieciecza?
- The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Nieciecza played?
- Stal Rzeszów vs Nieciecza is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Lechia GdanskvsŁKS Łódź
- May 22, 2027Stal MielecvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- May 22, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsWarta Poznań
- May 22, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsArka Gdynia
- May 22, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsChrobry Głogów
- May 22, 2027Polonia BytomvsMiedz Legnica
- May 22, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPodbeskidzie
- May 22, 2027Polonia WarszawavsOdra Opole