Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Polonia Warszawa (1,887) and Odra Opole (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Odra Opole have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Odra Opole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Odra Opole 1-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Polonia Warszawa 1-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Odra Opole 0-1 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Polonia Warszawa 3-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Odra Opole 3-0 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Odra Opole sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole played?
- Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Lechia GdanskvsŁKS Łódź
- May 22, 2027Stal MielecvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- May 22, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsWarta Poznań
- May 22, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsArka Gdynia
- May 22, 2027Stal RzeszówvsNieciecza
- May 22, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsChrobry Głogów
- May 22, 2027Polonia BytomvsMiedz Legnica
- May 22, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPodbeskidzie