Leiston vs Guiseley AFC: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guiseley AFC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Leiston (1,838) and Guiseley AFC (1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Guiseley AFC
Not enough data to predict the Guiseley AFC lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Guiseley AFC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guiseley AFC score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Guiseley AFC | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Guiseley AFC played?
- Leiston vs Guiseley AFC is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.