Where and when is Real Bedford vs Leiston played?

Real Bedford vs Leiston is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Bedford vs Leiston: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire

Real Bedford

Leiston

The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Leiston. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Bedford vs Leiston?

Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,786).

Real Bedford win66 %

Draw18 %

Leiston win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Bedford
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stratford Town(home)	6-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Banbury United(away)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Peterborough Sports(away)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Leamington(home)	4-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026	Hertford Town(home)	11-2	Friendlies Clubs

Leiston
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stourbridge(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Rushall Olympic(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Bishop's Stortford(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Anstey Nomads(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026	Gorleston(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Bedford win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Leiston win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 14, 2026	Real Bedford 0-1 Leiston	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 29, 2025	Leiston 1-0 Real Bedford	Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Leiston on Apr 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Bedford	3.5	1.5	2	12/15	13/15
Leiston	1.4	1.4	3	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	3	3	0	0	9	3	9
8	Leiston	3	1	1	1	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Leiston?: The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Leiston.
Where and when is Real Bedford vs Leiston played?: Real Bedford vs Leiston is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.