Levante vs Valencia: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
The Footlab AI model makes Levante the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Valencia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Levante wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levante vs Valencia?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Levante (2,058) and Valencia (2,066).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Levante vs Valencia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Levante
4-4-2- 9Iván Romero
- 11Yanis Musuayi
- 8Jon Ander Olasagasti
- 7Brugui
- 20Oriol Rey
- 17Víctor García
- 4Dela
- 23Manu Sánchez
- 22J. Toljan
- 2A. Mandi
- 13M. Ryan
Valencia
5-4-1- 9Hugo Duro
- 8Javi Guerra
- 23F. Ugrinic
- 2G. Rodríguez
- 19Dani Raba
- 18Pepelu
- 14José Gayà
- 24Pablo Maffeo
- 12J. de Haas
- 4M. Diakhaby
- 1S. Dimitrievski
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levante have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Valencia have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Levante wins, 2 draws, 4 Valencia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Levante 0-2 Valencia | La Liga |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Valencia 1-0 Levante | La Liga |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Valencia 0-0 Levante | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Valencia 1-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Dec 20, 2021 | Levante 3-4 Valencia | La Liga |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Valencia 1-0 Levante | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Levante score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Valencia | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levante sit 17th in La Liga (6 points from 7 matches) and Valencia sit 19th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Levante vs Valencia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levante vs Valencia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levante the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Valencia.
- Where and when is Levante vs Valencia played?
- Levante vs Valencia is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.