Real Betis vs Alaves: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Real Betis the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Alaves. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Betis vs Alaves?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,175 vs 2,075).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Betis have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Alaves have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Betis win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Alaves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Alaves 2-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Real Betis 1-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Real Betis 1-3 Alaves | La Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Alaves 0-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Real Betis 0-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Alaves 1-0 Real Betis | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alaves score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Alaves | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Betis sit 7th in La Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Alaves sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alaves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Betis vs Alaves?
- The Footlab model makes Real Betis the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Alaves.
- Where and when is Real Betis vs Alaves played?
- Real Betis vs Alaves is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.