Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Lokomotiv Sofia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 293-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7Reinaldo
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 10A. Mitkov
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 22M. Soula
- 20Álex Centelles
- 4C. Makoun
- 21Aldair
- 2Hevertton Santos
- 92S. Vutsov
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 16M. Medfai
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Levski Sofia wins, 1 draw, 0 Lokomotiv Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia 4-3 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Levski Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-6 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Lokomotiv Sofia 2-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia sit 1st in First League (25 points from 9 matches) and Lokomotiv Sofia sit 11th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Lokomotiv Sofia.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia played?
- Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.