Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Sofia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
CSKA Sofia starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 90S. Kalu
- 10A. Chandarov
- 77Lucas Araújo
- 7Alberto Salido
- 16V. Vidolov
- 13S. Tsonov
- 87S. Petrov
- 27B. Hein
- 82V. Mendes
- 4N. Soldo
- 29D. Naumov
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Botev Plovdiv wins, 1 draw, 5 CSKA Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 2-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| May 26, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 0-4 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| May 9, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 3-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 0-3 CSKA Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Plovdiv sit 5th in First League (19 points from 11 matches) and CSKA Sofia sit 2nd (27 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
A question about Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Botev Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia played?
- Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.