Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arda Kardzhali wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Slavia Sofia (1,707) and Arda Kardzhali (1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1- 77E. Stoev
- 95V. Miletić
- 73I. Minchev
- 10V. Nikolov
- 11M. Dosso
- 27Umaro Baldé
- 5David Malembana
- 87D. Ferraresso
- 4N. Savić
- 20J. Semedo Varela
- 99I. Andonov
Arda Kardzhali
4-1-4-1- 99B. Karagaren
- 80L. Kotev
- 8D. Yankov
- 39A. Vutov
- 4David Akintola Idowu
- 26B. Akandzha
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 5V. Lyubenov
- 1A. Gospodinov
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Sofia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arda Kardzhali have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Slavia Sofia win, 2 draws, 3 Arda Kardzhali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 2-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| May 23, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali 3-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arda Kardzhali score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Sofia sit 7th in First League (11 points from 10 matches) and Arda Kardzhali sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali played?
- Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.