Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Sofia (1,689) and Slavia Sofia (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1- 77E. Stoev
- 95V. Miletić
- 73I. Minchev
- 10V. Nikolov
- 11M. Dosso
- 27Umaro Baldé
- 87D. Ferraresso
- 4N. Savić
- 71K. Stoyanov
- 5David Malembana
- 99I. Andonov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotiv Sofia wins, 3 draws, 1 Slavia Sofia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| May 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 2-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| May 10, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 3-2 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 8th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.