Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Lokomotiv Sofia (1,721) and Slavia Sofia (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotiv Sofia win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Slavia Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| May 18, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 2-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| May 10, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 3-2 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13th in First League (2 points from 5 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.