Liberia vs Mali: result 0-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Samuel Kanyon Doe Stadium, Monrovia
Full time
What was the result of Liberia vs Mali?
Mali won 0-1 on September 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 79′A. TiaMali
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mali win at 64%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Liberia vs Mali
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Liberia
3-5-2- 10A. Kosiah
- 11S. Nimely
- 17F. Nyenetue
- 6Salomon Tweh
- 4N. Kenneh
- 19O. Dorley
- 22Edward Ledlum
- 3E. Fully
- 20M. Sangare
- 24S. Dweh
- 23Ashley Williams
Mali
4-2-3-1- 17L. Sinayoko
- 7N. Dorgeles
- 10K. Doumbia
- 12A. Tia
- 23A. Dieng
- 8M. Sangaré
- 15D. Guindo
- 14N. Gassama
- 25O. Camara
- 2H. Traoré
- 16D. Diarra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liberia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mali have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rwanda(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Sierra Leone(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sierra Leone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Libya(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Benin(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iran(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Russia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tunisia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Liberia score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mali score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberia | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mali | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liberia sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (0 points from 2 matches) and Mali sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Liberia vs Mali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy