Lincoln vs Charlton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lincoln wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln vs Charlton?
Lincoln starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,000 vs 1,867).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lincoln vs Charlton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lincoln
4-2-3-1- 34F. Draper
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 14C. McGrandles
- 18B. House
- 16D. Jefferies
- 17R. Street
- 25D. Elerewe
- 15S. Bradley
- 3A. Reach
- 4A. Coubiș
- 1G. Wickens
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 33Micah Mbick
- 5L. Jones
- 20D. McNamara
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 2K. Ramsay
- 13A. Okonkwo
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Charlton have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lincoln win, 4 draws, 1 Charlton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Charlton 2-2 Lincoln | League One |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Lincoln 0-0 Charlton | League One |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Charlton 1-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Lincoln 3-1 Charlton | League One |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Charlton 2-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Lincoln 0-0 Charlton | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lincoln sit 18th in Championship (12 points from 11 matches) and Charlton sit 17th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Lincoln vs Charlton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Charlton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Lincoln vs Charlton played?
- Lincoln vs Charlton is played on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LNER Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.