Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?

Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok

Jagiellonia II

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).

Jagiellonia II win45 %

Draw23 %

Lechia T. Mazowiecki win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Weszlo(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	4-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Łomża(home)	5-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Weszlo(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Jagiellonia II 2-3 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2025	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Apr 5, 2025	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3-1 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Sep 7, 2024	Jagiellonia II 3-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1
May 15, 2024	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 7-0 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1
Oct 21, 2023	Jagiellonia II 1-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia II	1.6	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2.0	1.9	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	5	3	0	2	14	11	9
10	Jagiellonia II	5	2	2	1	9	9	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?: Jagiellonia II vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.