Swit vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Warta Sieradz?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Swit win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Warta Sieradz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 3-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Swit 0-1 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 2-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Swit 1-4 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Swit 0-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Swit on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Swit.
- Where and when is Swit vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Swit vs Warta Sieradz is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Aug 29, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsMławianka Mława
- Aug 29, 2026TroszynvsWeszlo
- Aug 29, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsWigry Suwałki
- Aug 29, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Aug 29, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPelikan Łowicz
- Aug 30, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsWidzew II
- Aug 30, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsŁomża