Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Pelikan Łowicz played?

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Pelikan Łowicz is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Pelikan Łowicz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki

Ząbkovia Ząbki

Pelikan Łowicz

The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Pelikan Łowicz?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,699) and Pelikan Łowicz (1,652).

Ząbkovia Ząbki win48 %

Draw24 %

Pelikan Łowicz win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Pelikan Łowicz have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ząbkovia Ząbki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Widzew II(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 1

Pelikan Łowicz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Łomża(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ząbkovia Ząbki	1.4	1.9	3	7/15	10/15
Pelikan Łowicz	1.1	1.7	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Pelikan Łowicz	5	3	1	1	7	7	10
13	Ząbkovia Ząbki	5	2	1	2	8	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Pelikan Łowicz?: The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Pelikan Łowicz.
Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Pelikan Łowicz played?: Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Pelikan Łowicz is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.