Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki played?

Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg

Olimpia Elbląg

Wigry Suwałki

The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki?

Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,635).

Olimpia Elbląg win18 %

Draw22 %

Wigry Suwałki win60 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Wigry Suwałki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Swit(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Wigry Suwałki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 13, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg 1-3 Wigry Suwałki	III Liga - Group 1
Oct 25, 2025	Wigry Suwałki 4-1 Olimpia Elbląg	III Liga - Group 1
Dec 4, 2021	Olimpia Elbląg 4-1 Wigry Suwałki	II Liga - East
Aug 13, 2021	Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Olimpia Elbląg	II Liga - East
Mar 6, 2021	Olimpia Elbląg 0-0 Wigry Suwałki	II Liga - East
Aug 28, 2020	Wigry Suwałki 2-1 Olimpia Elbląg	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15
Wigry Suwałki	1.6	0.7	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Wigry Suwałki	5	2	3	0	5	2	9
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki?: The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki played?: Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.