Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,752).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win26 %

Draw20 %

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Swit(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Troszyn(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2.3	1.8	0	6/6	6/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.