ŁKS Łódź vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Arka Gdynia?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate ŁKS Łódź (1,898) and Arka Gdynia (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arka Gdynia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | ŁKS Łódź 0-2 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 2-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| May 26, 2023 | Arka Gdynia 1-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Oct 30, 2022 | ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Arka Gdynia 2-0 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Oct 17, 2021 | ŁKS Łódź 1-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Arka Gdynia on Dec 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Arka Gdynia?
- The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Arka Gdynia.
- Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Arka Gdynia played?
- ŁKS Łódź vs Arka Gdynia is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsNieciecza
- Mar 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsMiedz Legnica
- Mar 13, 2027Odra OpolevsStal Mielec
- Mar 13, 2027PodbeskidzievsPolonia Bytom
- Mar 13, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Mar 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia WarszawavsStal Rzeszów