Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Rzeszów?
Polonia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,886 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Stal Rzeszów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów 0-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Polonia Warszawa 2-3 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Stal Rzeszów 1-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Polonia Warszawa 1-0 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| May 26, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 1-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Polonia Warszawa 2-2 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warszawa on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Polonia Warszawa vs Stal Rzeszów is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsNieciecza
- Mar 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsMiedz Legnica
- Mar 13, 2027Odra OpolevsStal Mielec
- Mar 13, 2027PodbeskidzievsPolonia Bytom
- Mar 13, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Mar 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsArka Gdynia
- Mar 13, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsRuch Chorzów