Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for ŁKS Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,910) and ŁKS Łódź (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arka Gdynia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 ŁKS Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2024 | ŁKS Łódź 0-2 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 2-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| May 26, 2023 | Arka Gdynia 1-1 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Oct 30, 2022 | ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Apr 27, 2022 | Arka Gdynia 2-0 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Oct 17, 2021 | ŁKS Łódź 1-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Arka Gdynia on Dec 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for ŁKS Łódź.
- Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź played?
- Arka Gdynia vs ŁKS Łódź is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Miedz LegnicavsChrobry Głogów
- Sep 5, 2026NiecieczavsLechia Gdansk
- Sep 5, 2026Stal MielecvsOdra Opole
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 5, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Sep 5, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Sep 5, 2026Polonia BytomvsPodbeskidzie
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsWarta Poznań