Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Bytom?
Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Podbeskidzie win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Bytom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 1-0 Podbeskidzie | II Liga - East |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Polonia Bytom | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie on Feb 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Bytom?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Bytom played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Bytom is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsNieciecza
- Mar 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsMiedz Legnica
- Mar 13, 2027Odra OpolevsStal Mielec
- Mar 13, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Mar 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsArka Gdynia
- Mar 13, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia WarszawavsStal Rzeszów