Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice
The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836) and Pogoń Siedlce (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice 3-0 Pogoń Siedlce | I Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Pogoń Siedlce 0-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Pogoń Siedlce | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th in I Liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pogoń Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce?
- The Footlab model makes Puszcza Niepołomice the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Pogoń Siedlce.
- Where and when is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce played?
- Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsNieciecza
- Mar 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsMiedz Legnica
- Mar 13, 2027Odra OpolevsStal Mielec
- Mar 13, 2027PodbeskidzievsPolonia Bytom
- Mar 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsArka Gdynia
- Mar 13, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia WarszawavsStal Rzeszów