Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Itaka Arena, Opole
The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Odra Opole (1,803) and Stal Mielec (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Opole have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Mielec have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 5-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Odra Opole win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Stal Mielec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Odra Opole 0-2 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Stal Mielec 2-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Odra Opole 1-2 Stal Mielec | Cup |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Stal Mielec 1-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Oct 24, 2019 | Odra Opole 1-0 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Apr 24, 2019 | Odra Opole 1-1 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Stal Mielec | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Opole sit 9th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Stal Mielec sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec?
- The Footlab model makes Odra Opole the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Stal Mielec.
- Where and when is Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec played?
- Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Lechia GdanskvsNieciecza
- Mar 13, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsMiedz Legnica
- Mar 13, 2027PodbeskidzievsPolonia Bytom
- Mar 13, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsPogoń Siedlce
- Mar 13, 2027Warta PoznańvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 13, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsArka Gdynia
- Mar 13, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsRuch Chorzów
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia WarszawavsStal Rzeszów