Match

Arka Gdynia vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia

Arka GdyniaRuch Chorzów

The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ruch Chorzów wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Ruch Chorzów?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,814) and Ruch Chorzów (1,835).

35%27%38%
Arka Gdynia winDrawRuch Chorzów win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arka Gdynia vs Ruch Chorzów

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Gutkovskis
  2. 17N. Dzięgielewski
  3. 71J. Kowalski
  1. 28M. Ambrosiewicz
  2. 16Kuba Solecki
  3. 11D. Kocyła
  1. 94D. Gojny
  2. 4M. Komenda
  3. 6K. Lipkowski
  4. 44J. Dominguez
  1. 33J. Grobelny

Ruch Chorzów

4-3-3
  1. 21P. Szwedzik
  2. 95D. Szczepan
  3. 10E. Sutherland
  1. 7J. Křišťan
  2. 20S. Szymański
  3. 6M. Chrapek
  1. 3Abraham del Moral
  2. 17A. Lukić
  3. 28N. Lesniak-Paduch
  4. 15M. Konczkowski
  1. 44J. Wrąbel

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arka Gdynia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-1I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)0-0I Liga
Oct 29, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-2Cup
Oct 24, 2026Nieciecza(home)3-1I Liga
Oct 18, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)1-2I Liga
Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Stal Mielec(away)0-2I Liga
Nov 3, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga
Oct 28, 2026Znicz Pruszków(away)1-0Cup
Oct 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 16, 2026Odra Opole(home)3-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Arka Gdynia wins, 1 draw, 1 Ruch Chorzów win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2025Ruch Chorzów 0-1 Arka GdyniaI Liga
Aug 22, 2024Arka Gdynia 1-1 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
May 13, 2023Arka Gdynia 0-2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Oct 16, 2022Ruch Chorzów 2-4 Arka GdyniaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia on Mar 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Arka Gdynia score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arka Gdynia1.51.439/1510/15
Ruch Chorzów1.40.985/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arka Gdynia sit 12th in I Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 5th (22 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Ruch Chorzów14644171422
12Arka Gdynia14536191718

A question about Arka Gdynia vs Ruch Chorzów?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Ruch Chorzów?
The Footlab AI model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arka Gdynia.
Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Ruch Chorzów played?
Arka Gdynia vs Ruch Chorzów is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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