Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Itaka Arena, Opole
The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Odra Opole (1,803) and Polonia Warszawa (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Opole have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Warszawa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Odra Opole win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Polonia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Odra Opole 1-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Polonia Warszawa 1-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Odra Opole 0-1 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Polonia Warszawa 3-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Odra Opole 3-0 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Opole sit 9th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Warszawa sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa played?
- Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Itaka Arena, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Miedz LegnicavsPolonia Bytom
- Nov 28, 2026Arka GdyniavsRuch Chorzów
- Nov 28, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Nov 28, 2026NiecieczavsStal Rzeszów
- Nov 28, 2026PodbeskidzievsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Nov 28, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsStal Mielec
- Nov 28, 2026Warta PoznańvsPogoń Siedlce
- Nov 28, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsLechia Gdansk