llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons: result 1-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 10Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
Full time
What was the result of llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
Baglan Dragons won 1-2 on October 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′E. Morganllanelli AFC
- 80′635635Baglan Dragons
- 85′635557Baglan Dragons
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Baglan Dragons win at 52%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 llanelli AFC wins, 1 draw, 0 Baglan Dragons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | llanelli AFC 2-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 1-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Sep 8, 2023 | llanelli AFC 2-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons on Dec 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 11 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 2, 2026Carmarthen Town1-2Llantwit Major
- Oct 2, 2026Caerau (Ely)2-0Afan Lido
- Oct 3, 2026Pontypridd Town1-3Aberystwyth Town
- Oct 3, 2026Swansea University3-1Caerphilly Athletic
- Oct 3, 2026Cardiff Draconians1-1Newport City
- Oct 3, 2026Treowen Stars1-2Ynyshir Albions
- Oct 3, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds2-3Pontardawe Town