Ynyshir Albions vs Caerphilly Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth
The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Caerphilly Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ynyshir Albions wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Caerphilly Athletic?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Ynyshir Albions (1,560) and Caerphilly Athletic (1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ynyshir Albions vs Caerphilly Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ynyshir Albions
Not enough data to predict the Ynyshir Albions lineup.
Caerphilly Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Caerphilly Athletic have 4, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ynyshir Albions wins, 0 draws, 1 Caerphilly Athletic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic 2-1 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerphilly Athletic vs Ynyshir Albions on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ynyshir Albions score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Caerphilly Athletic | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ynyshir Albions sit 6th in FAW Championship (16 points from 9 matches) and Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Ynyshir Albions vs Caerphilly Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs Caerphilly Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Caerphilly Athletic.
- Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Caerphilly Athletic played?
- Ynyshir Albions vs Caerphilly Athletic is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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