llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,559) and Pontardawe Town (1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Pontardawe Town have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 llanelli AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pontardawe Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | llanelli AFC 5-0 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Pontardawe Town 1-3 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jul 21, 2023 | llanelli AFC 1-0 Pontardawe Town | League Cup |
| Apr 7, 2023 | llanelli AFC 0-4 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Pontardawe Town 1-3 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town on Mar 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 15th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Pontardawe Town sit 13th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?
- The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Pontardawe Town.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town played?
- llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 6, 2026Newport CityvsTreowen Stars
- Nov 6, 2026Baglan DragonsvsYnyshir Albions
- Nov 6, 2026Afan LidovsCaerphilly Athletic
- Nov 6, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsPontypridd Town
- Nov 7, 2026Trethomas BluebirdsvsLlantwit Major
- Nov 7, 2026Carmarthen TownvsAberystwyth Town
- Nov 7, 2026Swansea UniversityvsCardiff Draconians