Where and when is Newport City vs Treowen Stars played?

Newport City vs Treowen Stars is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Newport City vs Treowen Stars: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Newport Stadium, Casnewydd

Newport City

Treowen Stars

The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Newport City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newport City vs Treowen Stars?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Newport City (1,536) and Treowen Stars (1,559).

Newport City win36 %

Draw22 %

Treowen Stars win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport City have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Treowen Stars have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newport City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontardawe Town(away)	4-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Jul 8, 2026	Newport County(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

Treowen Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(home)	3-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	2-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Newport City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Treowen Stars win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	Newport City 2-3 Treowen Stars	FAW Championship
Nov 29, 2025	Treowen Stars 2-0 Newport City	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Newport City vs Treowen Stars on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Newport City score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Treowen Stars score 2.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Newport City	1.3	2.2	3	6/15	11/15
Treowen Stars	2.0	2.2	1	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newport City sit 7th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Treowen Stars sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Treowen Stars	4	3	0	1	11	6	9
7	Newport City	4	2	0	2	9	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newport City vs Treowen Stars?: The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Newport City.
Where and when is Newport City vs Treowen Stars played?: Newport City vs Treowen Stars is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.