Match

Llanera vs Arosa: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera

LlaneraArosa

The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llanera vs Arosa?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Llanera (2,000) and Arosa (1,904).

Llanera win52 %
Draw26 %
Arosa win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llanera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Tuilla(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Real Titánico(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Arosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Pontevedra(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Celtiga(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Cambados(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Boiro(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Barco(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Llanera win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arosa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2022Llanera 3-0 ArosaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2021Arosa 0-0 LlaneraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Llanera vs Arosa on Feb 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llanera1.90.4114/157/15
Arosa1.70.877/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Arosa?
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Arosa.
Where and when is Llanera vs Arosa played?
Llanera vs Arosa is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Llanera and Arosa

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