Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberystwyth Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth Town?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Trethomas Bluebirds (1,591) and Aberystwyth Town (1,672).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trethomas Bluebirds
Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Trethomas Bluebirds wins, 0 draws, 2 Aberystwyth Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 3-0 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 2-3 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th in FAW Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth Town played?
- Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.