Where and when is Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major played?

Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Cardiff Draconians

Llantwit Major

The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Cardiff Draconians (1,547) and Llantwit Major (1,483).

Cardiff Draconians win58 %

Draw20 %

Llantwit Major win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff Draconians have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Llantwit Major have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cardiff Draconians
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	llanelli AFC(home)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-1	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

Llantwit Major
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	1-5	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	0-5	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cambrian & Clydach(home)	1-3	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Cardiff Draconians win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Llantwit Major win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 26, 2025	Cardiff Draconians 2-0 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Sep 27, 2025	Llantwit Major 0-2 Cardiff Draconians	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major on Dec 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cardiff Draconians	1.7	2.0	1	10/15	11/15
Llantwit Major	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cardiff Draconians sit 10th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Cardiff Draconians	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major?: The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major played?: Cardiff Draconians vs Llantwit Major is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.