Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Arda Kardzhali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Levski Sofia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arda Kardzhali
4-1-4-1- 99B. Karagaren
- 80L. Kotev
- 8D. Yankov
- 39A. Vutov
- 4David Akintola Idowu
- 26B. Akandzha
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 5V. Lyubenov
- 1A. Gospodinov
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7Reinaldo
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 10A. Mitkov
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 22M. Soula
- 20Álex Centelles
- 4C. Makoun
- 21Aldair
- 2Hevertton Santos
- 92S. Vutsov
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arda Kardzhali wins, 2 draws, 4 Levski Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 0-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| May 14, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 0-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Levski Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Levski Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 5th in First League (17 points from 10 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 1st (25 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Arda Kardzhali.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.