Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Arda Kardzhali. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Levski Sofia have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arda Kardzhali win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Levski Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 0-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| May 14, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 0-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Levski Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Levski Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 2.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 5th in First League (10 points from 5 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 2nd (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Arda Kardzhali.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.