CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vitosha, Bistrica
The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv?
CSKA 1948 starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA 1948 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Botev Plovdiv have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CSKA 1948 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Botev Plovdiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | CSKA 1948 0-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 1-2 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 0-5 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | CSKA 1948 0-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| May 23, 2024 | CSKA 1948 2-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| May 6, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 0-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA 1948 sit 4th in First League (13 points from 6 matches) and Botev Plovdiv sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Botev Plovdiv.
- Where and when is CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv played?
- CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vitosha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.