Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Arda, Kardzhali
The Footlab model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for CSKA 1948. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Arda Kardzhali (1,869) and CSKA 1948 (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arda Kardzhali have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA 1948 have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arda Kardzhali win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 CSKA 1948 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | CSKA 1948 2-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 3-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Jul 18, 2025 | CSKA 1948 1-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Oct 21, 2024 | CSKA 1948 1-2 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| May 20, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali 0-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA 1948 vs Arda Kardzhali on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arda Kardzhali score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arda Kardzhali sit 5th in First League (13 points from 6 matches) and CSKA 1948 sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948?
- The Footlab model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for CSKA 1948.
- Where and when is Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 played?
- Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Arda, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.