Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Vratsa
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1- 4I. Goranov
- 12I. Yurukov
- 7R. Tsonev
- 10J. Gallegos
- 24M. Smolenski
- 8A. Stoyanov
- 36M. Stoev
- 3S. Sanyang
- 25A. Buchkov
- 88L. Boyanov
- 94M. Orlinov
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 14P. Stanić
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 42S. Shishkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Vratsa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ludogorets have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Pro Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Botev Vratsa wins, 0 draws, 6 Ludogorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ludogorets 2-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 0-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-0 Botev Vratsa | Cup |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 0-1 Ludogorets | Cup |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ludogorets 3-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Vratsa score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Vratsa sit 9th in First League (9 points from 11 matches) and Ludogorets sit 3rd (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 9 |
A question about Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets played?
- Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.