Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Los Angeles Galaxy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Los Angeles Galaxy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Los Angeles FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy 0-3 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 3-3 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| May 19, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles FC sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (35 points from 22 matches) and Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Los Angeles Galaxy.
- Where and when is Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy played?
- Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy is played on October 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at BMO Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026CF MontrealvsNashville SC
- Oct 24, 2026Columbus CrewvsToronto FC
- Oct 24, 2026New York Red BullsvsInter Miami
- Oct 24, 2026DC UnitedvsFC Cincinnati
- Oct 24, 2026Atlanta United FCvsChicago Fire
- Oct 24, 2026Philadelphia UnionvsNew England Revolution
- Oct 24, 2026Orlando City SCvsNew York City FC
- Oct 25, 2026FC DallasvsSan Jose Earthquakes