Match

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California

Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers

The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Portland Timbers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,764) and Portland Timbers (1,787).

Los Angeles Galaxy win49 %
Draw23 %
Portland Timbers win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Portland Timbers have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Angeles Galaxy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026FC Dallas(home)0-0Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Los Angeles FC(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026San Diego(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Chicago Fire(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026Club Tijuana(home)3-1Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Club America(away)1-3Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Portland Timbers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Portland Timbers 1-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Jan 23, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Portland TimbersFriendlies Clubs
Apr 28, 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 2-4 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025Portland Timbers 1-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024Portland Timbers 4-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Angeles Galaxy1.11.349/157/15
Portland Timbers2.31.6112/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 22 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 9th (28 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Portland Timbers21849383728
12Los Angeles Galaxy22688273226

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Portland Timbers.
Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers played?
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers is played on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers

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