Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Portland Timbers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,764) and Portland Timbers (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Portland Timbers have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Portland Timbers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Portland Timbers 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Portland Timbers | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 2-4 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Portland Timbers 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Portland Timbers 4-2 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Portland Timbers | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 22 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 9th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 28 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Portland Timbers.
- Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers played?
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers is played on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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