Where and when is Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union played?

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union is played on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Soldier Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union

The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Philadelphia Union. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Chicago Fire (1,851) and Philadelphia Union (1,782).

Chicago Fire win52 %

Draw23 %

Philadelphia Union win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chicago Fire have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Philadelphia Union have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chicago Fire
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	New York Red Bulls(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Timbers(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	2-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Austin(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chicago Fire win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Philadelphia Union win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Philadelphia Union 1-2 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
Nov 1, 2025	Chicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Oct 26, 2025	Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2025	Philadelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025	Chicago Fire 0-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024	Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chicago Fire score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Philadelphia Union score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chicago Fire	1.9	1.5	2	13/15	12/15
Philadelphia Union	1.7	1.8	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chicago Fire sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (36 points from 20 matches) and Philadelphia Union sit 12th (21 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Chicago Fire	20	11	3	6	37	26	36
12	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?: The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Philadelphia Union.
Where and when is Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union played?: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union is played on October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Soldier Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.