Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: result 0-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 4Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade de Luxembourg, Lëtzebuerg (Luxembourg)
Full time
What was the result of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Bulgaria won 0-2 on October 6, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′K. BalovBulgaria
- 34′A. IlievBulgaria
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Luxembourg win at 42%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Luxembourg
4-2-3-1- 9Jayson Videira Pereira
- 17H. Kadamani
- 11V. Thill
- 15Omar Natami
- 8E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos
- 6J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
- 14E. Veiga
- 13D. Carlson
- 5V. Selimović
- 4F. Bohnert
- 1A. Moris
Bulgaria
4-2-3-1- 9A. Iliev
- 18K. Balov
- 11G. Rusev
- 17M. Minchev
- 4I. Gruev
- 8A. Kraev
- 15H. Petrov
- 6E. Tsenov
- 13S. Velkov
- 2Y. Stoyanov
- 1D. Naumov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luxembourg have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Bulgaria have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Estonia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Iceland(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bulgaria(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Iceland(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Luxembourg(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Moldova(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Luxembourg win, 3 draws, 2 Bulgaria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Luxembourg 1-1 Bulgaria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Bulgaria 4-3 Luxembourg | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Bulgaria vs Luxembourg on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luxembourg score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bulgaria score 1.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Bulgaria | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luxembourg sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (3 points from 4 matches) and Bulgaria sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy