Estonia vs Iceland: result 0-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 4Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Iceland?
Estonia and Iceland drew 0-0 on October 6, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Iceland win at 60%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 0-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Estonia vs Iceland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Estonia
3-5-2- 17M. Männilaan
- 7R. Saarma
- 13J. Saliste
- 10K. Palumets
- 20M. Poom
- 14P. Kristal
- 6R. Peetson
- 5E. Tõugjas
- 2M. Kuusk
- 3M. Paskotši
- 12M. Igonen
Iceland
4-2-3-1- 9O. Óskarsson
- 18M. Anderson
- 22A. Guðjohnsen
- 7H. Haraldsson
- 8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 10G. Sigurðsson
- 3D. Grétarsson
- 23H. Magnússon
- 16S. Þórðarson
- 4V. Pálsson
- 12H. Valdimarsson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Iceland have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luxembourg(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bulgaria(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iceland(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Lithuania(home) | 1-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Faroe Islands(home) | 1-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bulgaria(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Luxembourg(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Japan(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estonia wins, 2 draws, 0 Iceland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iceland 1-1 Estonia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Iceland 1-1 Estonia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Iceland score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Iceland | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estonia sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (6 points from 4 matches) and Iceland sit 1st (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
A question about Estonia vs Iceland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy