Belarus vs Finland: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 4Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest
Full time
What was the result of Belarus vs Finland?
Belarus won 1-0 on October 6, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 1′A. ShumanskiyBelarus
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Finland win at 48%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Belarus vs Finland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Belarus
4-2-3-1- 11G. Barkovskiy
- 7A. Shumanskiy
- 9M. Ebong
- 19A. Lukashov
- 8A. Selyava
- 4V. Bocherov
- 2K. Pechenin
- 13K. Gomanov
- 20Z. Volkov
- 5V. Kalinin
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Finland
4-3-3- 8O. Valakari
- 18T. Keskinen
- 9A. Svanbäck
- 10L. Walta
- 2M. Peltola
- 11A. Marhiev
- 17R. Mahuta
- 5S. Miettinen
- 15M. Tenho
- 13J. Lähteenmäki
- 1L. Hrádecký
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belarus have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Finland have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Marino(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Finland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Albania(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Burkina Faso(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Syria(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albania(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Belarus(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Marino(away) | 7-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Hungary(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Germany(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Belarus wins, 1 draw, 1 Finland win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Finland 0-0 Belarus | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Finland 2-0 Belarus | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Belarus score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Finland score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Finland | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belarus sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Finland sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Belarus vs Finland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy