Shimizu S-pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,901) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,961).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 6-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J-League Cup |
| Mar 8, 2023 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-2 Kawasaki Frontale | J-League Cup |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| May 7, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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