Oliveirense vs SC Covilha: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Carlos Osório, Oliveira de Azeméis
The Footlab AI model makes Oliveirense the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for SC Covilha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oliveirense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oliveirense vs SC Covilha?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Oliveirense (1,847) and SC Covilha (1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oliveirense vs SC Covilha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oliveirense
3-4-3- 10Joao Tavares
- 70Kiko Félix
- 22R. Rei
- 8Vasco Braga
- 6J. Daniel
- 17K. Nagata
- 80K. Onohara
- 55Luís Bastos
- 14Simão Martins
- 24Gonçalo Loureiro
- 33Unai Pérez
SC Covilha
4-3-3- 99C. Niang
- 18J. Pacheco
- 7Danny
- 6A. Barbosa
- 5H. Innusah
- 8R. Coelho
- 2Kauan Gomes
- 45M. Aidara
- 23Emerson Gomes
- 22E. Gomes Silva
- 1Gustavo Galil
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oliveirense have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SC Covilha have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Penalva Castelo(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oliveirense win, 1 draw, 4 SC Covilha wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Covilha 0-0 Oliveirense | Liga 3 |
| May 6, 2023 | SC Covilha 2-1 Oliveirense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Oliveirense 2-0 SC Covilha | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 16, 2021 | SC Covilha 1-0 Oliveirense | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Oliveirense 1-2 SC Covilha | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2020 | SC Covilha 1-0 Oliveirense | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Covilha vs Oliveirense on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oliveirense score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC Covilha score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliveirense | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| SC Covilha | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oliveirense sit 3rd in Liga 3 (9 points from 6 matches) and SC Covilha sit 8th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Oliveirense vs SC Covilha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oliveirense vs SC Covilha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oliveirense the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for SC Covilha.
- Where and when is Oliveirense vs SC Covilha played?
- Oliveirense vs SC Covilha is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Carlos Osório, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.