Where and when is Horsham vs Maidstone Utd played?

Horsham vs Maidstone Utd is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Horsham vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

Horsham

Maidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Maidstone Utd?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,821).

Horsham win29 %

Draw27 %

Maidstone Utd win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hampton & Richmond(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Salisbury(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Torquay(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Maidstone Utd
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Walton & Hersham(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Maidstone Utd win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Horsham 0-0 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Sep 6, 2025	Maidstone Utd 0-3 Horsham	National League - South
Nov 16, 2024	Horsham 2-1 Maidstone Utd	FA Trophy
Jul 22, 2023	Horsham 2-0 Maidstone Utd	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Maidstone Utd on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Horsham	1.2	1.2	5	5/15	7/15
Maidstone Utd	2.4	1.2	6	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Horsham	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
5	Maidstone Utd	4	2	1	1	8	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Maidstone Utd?: The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Horsham.
Where and when is Horsham vs Maidstone Utd played?: Horsham vs Maidstone Utd is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.