Match

Malta U17 vs Netherlands U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta'Qali

Malta U17Netherlands U17

The Footlab model makes Netherlands U17 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Malta U17. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malta U17 vs Netherlands U17?

Netherlands U17 starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,556 vs 1,305).

Malta U17 win27 %
Draw22 %
Netherlands U17 win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malta U17 have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Netherlands U17 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malta U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Azerbaijan U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Bulgaria U17(away)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 24, 2026Lithuania U17(home)1-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 19, 2026Luxembourg U17(away)0-3Friendlies
Feb 17, 2026Luxembourg U17(away)0-2Friendlies
Netherlands U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Belarus U17(home)2-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Kosovo U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 11, 2026Switzerland U17(away)3-3Friendlies
Nov 17, 2025Croatia U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Kazakhstan U17(home)4-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Malta U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Netherlands U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malta U170.62.907/1512/15
Netherlands U172.11.5410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malta U17 sit 4th in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (1 points from 3 matches) and Netherlands U17 sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Netherlands U172200316
4Malta U1730122111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malta U17 vs Netherlands U17?
The Footlab model makes Netherlands U17 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Malta U17.
Where and when is Malta U17 vs Netherlands U17 played?
Malta U17 vs Netherlands U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ta'Qali National Stadium, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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