Mangasport vs African Stars: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Henri Sylvoz, Moanda
The Footlab model makes Mangasport the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for African Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mangasport vs African Stars?
Mangasport starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mangasport have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; African Stars have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Lozo(home) | 2-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ogooue FC(away) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Bouenguidi(home) | 3-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Pélican(away) | 2-1 | Championnat D1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Bitam(home) | 1-2 | Championnat D1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Vipers(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Galaxy(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Galaxy(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Power Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mangasport score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; African Stars score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mangasport | 2.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| African Stars | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mangasport vs African Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Mangasport the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for African Stars.
- Where and when is Mangasport vs African Stars played?
- Mangasport vs African Stars is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Henri Sylvoz, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.