Marino de Luanco vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bergantiños wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Bergantiños?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,861) and Bergantiños (1,948).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino de Luanco vs Bergantiños
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino de Luanco
Not enough data to predict the Marino de Luanco lineup.
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Bergantiños have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marino de Luanco wins, 3 draws, 1 Bergantiños win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Bergantiños 0-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Marino de Luanco 1-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Bergantiños 4-2 Marino de Luanco | Copa Federacion |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Marino de Luanco 1-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Bergantiños 1-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bergantiños 1-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bergantiños vs Marino de Luanco on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Bergantiños | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino de Luanco sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 9 matches) and Bergantiños sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bergantiños | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 15 | Marino de Luanco | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Marino de Luanco vs Bergantiños?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Bergantiños played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Bergantiños is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.