Match

Real Oviedo II vs Gernika: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Requexón, Oviedo

Real Oviedo IIGernika

The Footlab model makes Real Oviedo II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Oviedo II vs Gernika?

Real Oviedo II starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,946 vs 1,837).

Real Oviedo II win53 %
Draw26 %
Gernika win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Oviedo II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gernika have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Oviedo II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026CD Coria(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026CD Coria(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 16, 2026Tudelano(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Tudelano(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Langreo(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Gernika
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportivo Alavés II(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Basconia(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Tudelano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026Amorebieta(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026Utebo(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Real Oviedo II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Oviedo II1.11.527/158/15
Gernika1.01.557/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Real Oviedo II3416108503558

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Oviedo II vs Gernika?
The Footlab model makes Real Oviedo II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Gernika.
Where and when is Real Oviedo II vs Gernika played?
Real Oviedo II vs Gernika is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Requexón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Oviedo II and Gernika

Ready to know everything about football?