Arosa vs Real Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arosa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Real Madrid III?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Arosa (1,905) and Real Madrid III (1,860).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arosa vs Real Madrid III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Real Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 04:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Real Madrid III have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid III score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Madrid III | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Arosa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 7 |
A question about Arosa vs Real Madrid III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Real Madrid III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Real Madrid III played?
- Arosa vs Real Madrid III is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027CompostelavsLlanera
- Mar 28, 2027AmorebietavsSestao River
- Mar 28, 2027Marino de LuancovsBergantiños
- Mar 28, 2027Real Oviedo IIvsGernika
- Mar 28, 2027Deportivo Alavés IIvsOurense CF
- Mar 28, 2027Racing Santander IIvsCoruxo
- Mar 28, 2027BasconiavsGimnástica Torrelavega
- Mar 28, 2027Eibar IIvsPortugalete